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Moist Greenhouse Atmospheres

On water-dominated planets, warming from increased solar insolation is strongly amplified by the
water vapor greenhouse feedback.  Eventually, climate can transition into the so-called moist greenhouse state, characterized by large water vapor mixing ratios in the upper atmosphere.

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Using a 3D climate system model, I have studied the onset of moist greenhouse atmospheres for Earth as the Sun brightens over time.  (See figure at left)

 

For small (≤10%) increases in the solar constant (S), Earth's temperature warms nearly linearly with climate sensitivities of ~1 K/(Wm2) and global mean surface temperatures remaining below 310 K.  However, an abrupt shift in climate is found as the solar constant is increased to +12.5% S. Here climate sensitivity peaks at ~6.5 K/(Wm2), while global mean surface temperatures rise above 330 K.  This climatic transition is associated with a fundamental change to the radiative-convective state of the atmosphere. Hot, moist climates feature both strong solar absorption and inefficient radiative cooling in the low atmosphere, thus yielding net radiative heating of the near-surface layers. This heating forms an inversion that effectively shuts off convection in the boundary layer, which in turn reduces cloudiness.  

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